We have an unfortunate challenge when it comes to military intervention in Iran and North Korea to stop their nuclear weapons development, namely that Americans do not have a clue as to the long-reaching ramifications in all of this, and due to the fact that most Americans simply do not know a whole lot about the enrichment process.
You see, not long ago, there was an article in the news about how Iran had reached 20% enrichment on a good chunk of their uranium, and this is the point it can be used as nuclear fuel, or enriched more to make weapons grade uranium. Further once the milestone of 20% enrichment has been met, that in and of itself is 80-90% of the work to get to the enrichment levels to make a bomb, the rest of the enrichment process provided that Iran has the technical
ability and a large number of advanced centrifuges or the new laser enrichment tech, it’s only a hop-skip-and-a-jump to the bomb.
And making a uranium based nuclear weapon is not so hard if you have the hard part, the
enriched uranium. Plutonium bombs are harder, and hydrogen bombs are very hard to make correctly and actually have them work, still, the know-how is out there, so, I just have a hard time with any predictions. Perhaps, this is why in Israel the public is expecting the Israeli air force to go take out the Iranian’s underground nuclear weapon development facilities.
Some say that if Ahmedinejad is out of the way as President, that perhaps the powers that be can then reason with the Supreme Leader. and this could be a good-guy bad-guy negotiation attempt if there is thought to be a rift between the clerics, Supreme Leader, and the President of Iran, Ahmedinejad. Recently, the President of Iran has been brought in for questioning about some fraud issues and accounting questions regarding billions of dollars.
Yes, I am imagine there is a rift between the Supreme Leader and the perceived loose cannon cavalier political mouth piece we call Ahmedinejad, and sure there are divisions in that government, we can expect dissention in any government or country that large. Should we predict the fall of the President of Iran, and the government’s leadership council to take over, and then negotiate with them directly, well, we must realize that such a potential eventuality is possible, but we cannot wait for such a delay, any longer.
Thus, we have no choice now, so we must move forward assuming the prediction is wrong, and hold a strong stance and 100% determination to stop Iran from getting a nuke, or making
one. What about North Korea? Well, there is an interesting parallel problem. if we convince the new son of Kim Jong Il as that torch is passed to play with us in trade for a re-united or at least more open and trading North Korea, history will be made there.
If that happened, this would leave Iran the sole problem currently on the nuclear proliferation weapons front, and they will not want that much scrutiny or energy focused on them, because they know what that means, and the US has shown they are willing to remove from power those who oppose them, regardless of the end-game output, so we look like the crazy ones now, the unpredictable.
And as we move folks out of Iraq, Iran may be assuming we did so, so they will not be a target when the war starts. Iraq is the middle ground between the escalating posturing of Saudi Arabia and Iran, it matters very much to the Sunnis, and Saudi Arabia has a change management crisis
coming, did this gentleman put that into his little computer too? a lot has changed since 2010, that was before the Arab Spring and at the time of the last Iranian uprising, which was put down.
NO NUKES FOR IRAN under this current regime – Period. That’s my recommendation as a geo-political analyst.